Sunday, May 31, 2020

Two captions issue #2

There are two options for captions of  the picture: the original and mine.

1.  "Seriously, you wouldn’t believe my seats.”
2. "This 4D TV is incomparable, just only reduce the smell."

"Sovereign" statistics as an alternative to the IgG test

On June 1, several of my friends who work at RSC Energia come out of quarantine. On may 5, their General Manager died from covid-19. On April 1, when the quarantine was introduced, 2,776 infected people were detected in the country, and on May 30  the number was  396,575. In other words, General Manager E. Mikrin was infected at a time when the probability of getting sick was 140 times lower than today. I do not think that in the case of complications, the chances of survival for ordinary employees are higher than for their General Manager, but the chances of getting sick have increased many times: in transport, in the factory canteen, and especially during a 9-hour stay in the office. President Trump demonstrates that he is with the people of America (every citizen received $1,200), he holds meetings, and almost every day communicates with journalists. Our situation is somewhat different with the President and with the help to Russian citizens. It is clear that the National Welfare Fund (169 $ billlion) is not to fight some Chinese flu, but to protect against a cheeky ("nahalny") threat.
But now it would be possible to help those who from June 1 will be packed into trains and buses, work in offices and enterprises so their taxes will go to the budget as a result. Before authorities  throw them into  the Red zone, they could ensure some safety by conducting free tests on antibodies (IgG class immunoglobulins), because today the cost of such a test in the Moscow region is $66 , and the result could be only in 7 days.
Now about the wonders of "sovereign" statistics. The first graph shows the number of cases and the number of people still ill in the United States. Their ratio is 65.2%. The time to double the number of infected people in the country is 53 days.

Monday, May 25, 2020

Two captions.. issue #1



There are two options for captions of the picture: the original and mine.

1. WHO is deceiving when it claims that 70% of covid--19 cases are asymptomatic.

2. " Remember when he was just a humming bird?"


Sunday, May 17, 2020

Pro tests

Our assumption that Italy and Spain passed the maximum number of active cases of infection in mid-April has confirmed. Today's table differs from the previous one by adding three columns: the Absolute number of tests, the Relative number of tests, and the Relative number of detected cases. Also, Peru was added instead of China due to the lack of Chinese statistics of tests.
Table 1 shows that in comparison with the Asian stage, a greater number of days is required to reach the maximum number of active cases: previously, 20-40 days, now - 80-90.
Tab.1
More than 5% of the population was tested in Spain, Belgium, Portugal and Israel, and less than 1% - in Iran, Brazil and India. (Hist.1)
Hist.1 Relative to the population number of tests (blue) and the relative number of infected (red)

In terms of the relative number of infected, the USA, Spain and Belgium are ahead (more than 0.4% of the population), tailing  Brazil, South Korea, India and Australia-less than 0.1%. (Chart 1)
Chart 1 Number of infected as a percentage of the population (blue) and number of deaths per 100,000 population (red)

More than 32 deaths per 100,000 population: in Belgium, Spain, Italy, Britain, France, Sweden and the Netherlands. Less than 9 – in India, Australia, South Korea, Russia, Israel, Turkey, Austria, Brazil, Peru and Iran.In Table 1, the 4th column from the end shows the countries that passed the first wave of the epidemic. In the third column from the end, the yellow cells indicate that the wave is close to its apogee and the brown ones indicate countries where the end is not yet visible – Peru, Brazil, Russia, Sweden and India.

The most backward medicine - in three neighboring countries, where the number of deaths relative to the number of cases is highest, %:·

3     Britain    14.4·

2     France   15.3·

1     Belgium  16.4.



And, the most intriguing, 4 countries with the most advanced medicine. In the 4-th column of  Tab.1 you can see number of deaths relative to detected cases, %. The leaders are:·


4       S.Korea     2.4·
3       Israel         1.6·
2       Australia    1.4
Based on official data, country that has the best equipped medicine in the world with the most professional doctors is drum roll :
1        Russia       0.9.